Sport Picks

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Sondrio vs Magenta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ojeda P.

AI Match Summary

Sondrio in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sondrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sondrio
30%
Draws
37%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Magenta haven't matched Sondrio's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sondrio's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 18%
Magenta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sondrio Magenta
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.19 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Magenta
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Magenta vs Sondrio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sondrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojeda P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Magenta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sondrio 40 / 100
Magenta 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sondrio Magenta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sondrio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sondrio found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Magenta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Sondrio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sondrio VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sondrio

(Home)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 7

Magenta

(Away)
04 May
Varesina
1 : 1
Magenta
27 Apr
Magenta
2 : 0
Sant'Angelo
17 Apr
Chievo
4 : 0
Magenta
13 Apr
Magenta
0 : 0
Sangiuliano City
06 Apr
Breno
1 : 3
Magenta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)