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Soneja vs Utiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Iglesias Macia D.
68' Event
Iglesias Macia D.
73'
Torregrosa I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 game between Soneja and Utiel finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Soneja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Soneja
35%
Draws
28%
Utiel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Soneja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Soneja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Soneja's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Soneja Clean Sheet 68%
Utiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soneja Utiel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Utiel
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Soneja
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Utiel
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Utiel
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Soneja
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soneja Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias Macia D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Utiel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soneja 95 / 100
Utiel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soneja Utiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soneja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soneja found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Utiel conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Soneja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Soneja VS Utiel
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Soneja

(Home)
03 Oct
Soneja
1 : 2
Espanol de San Vicente
27 Sept
SC Torrevieja
2 : 0
Soneja
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
13 Sept
Crevillente
2 : 2
Soneja
06 Sept
Soneja
0 : 3
Villarreal C
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Utiel

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 2
Utiel
27 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Roda
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal C 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 Vall de Uxo 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
3 Torrent 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
4 Hercules B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
5 Roda 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
6 Eldense B 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Levante B 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
8 Atletico Saguntino 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Crevillente 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
10 Acero 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 SC Torrevieja 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
13 CD Bunol 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
14 Espanol de San Vicente 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
15 Atzeneta 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
16 Soneja 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 Utiel 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
18 Torrellano 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Play Offs)