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Song Lam Nghe An vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Vinh Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Ngo Van Luong
43'
Sub
Marcelino P. In: Le Hai Duc
Out: Marcelino P.
46'
Sub
Nguyen Quoc Viet In: Le Van Thuan
Out: Nguyen Quoc Viet

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 game between Song Lam Nghe An and Phu Dong Ninh Binh finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phu Dong Ninh Binh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Song Lam Nghe An
6%
Draws
90%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Phu Dong Ninh Binh come out ahead of Song Lam Nghe An on wins alone.
  • Model gives Phu Dong Ninh Binh a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Song Lam Nghe An Clean Sheet 13%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Song Lam Nghe An Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:2
Nov 5, 2025 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Song Lam Nghe An
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Song Lam Nghe An Compare

Top Goalscorer Phan B. Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovane
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Song Lam Nghe An 10 / 100
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Song Lam Nghe An Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phu Dong Ninh Binh let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Song Lam Nghe An scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Song Lam Nghe An remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Song Lam Nghe An VS Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324