Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Songwe Border vs MAFCO

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kadzongola A.
68' Event
Chirwa C.
83' Event
Rodwell R.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Songwe Border and MAFCO finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MAFCO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Songwe Border
15%
Draws
85%
MAFCO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MAFCO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • MAFCO carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans MAFCO's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Songwe Border Clean Sheet 10%
MAFCO Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Songwe Border MAFCO
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.33 1
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Super League
MAFCO vs Songwe Border
2:0
Jul 27, 2025 Super League
Songwe Border vs MAFCO
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Songwe Border Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwamwaya A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

MAFCO Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadzongola A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chirwa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Songwe Border 10 / 100
MAFCO 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Songwe Border MAFCO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAFCO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MAFCO let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

MAFCO's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Songwe Border scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Songwe Border VS MAFCO
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Songwe Border

(Home)
27 Dec
Songwe Border
0 : 5
Civo Utd
20 Dec
Songwe Border
1 : 2
Blue Eagles
07 Dec
Silver Strikers
6 : 0
Songwe Border
03 Dec
MAFCO
2 : 0
Songwe Border
23 Nov
Songwe Border
0 : 3
Dedza Dynamos
Page 1 of 6

MAFCO

(Away)
08 Aug
MAFCO
0 : 1
Blue Eagles
26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1
MAFCO
18 Jul
MAFCO
2 : 0
Red Lions
05 Jul
Mighty Wanderers FC
3 : 0
MAFCO
28 Jun
Ekhaya
1 : 0
MAFCO
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 20 9 1 51:14 69
2 Big Bullets 30 21 3 6 60:20 66
3 Silver Strikers 30 18 10 2 50:18 64
4 Blue Eagles 30 13 9 8 38:30 48
5 Civo Utd 30 13 8 9 39:21 47
6 Karonga United 30 13 5 12 31:28 44
7 Ekhaya 30 13 3 14 36:28 42
8 Creck Sporting 30 11 9 10 25:27 42
9 Moyale Barracks 30 10 10 10 28:40 40
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 11 6 13 31:35 39
11 Chitipa United 30 9 10 11 23:30 37
12 Dedza Dynamos 30 8 8 14 24:33 32
13 MAFCO 30 8 7 15 29:37 31
14 Mzuzu City 30 7 7 16 26:49 28
15 Mighty Tigers 30 6 9 15 21:35 27
16 Songwe Border 30 1 3 26 10:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)