Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Freiburg II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Celiktas V.
19' Event
Maier L.
28' Event
Rudlin F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sonnenhof Grossaspach in this Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sonnenhof Grossaspach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
33%
Draws
27%
Freiburg II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sonnenhof Grossaspach have won more games recently than Freiburg II.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sonnenhof Grossaspach taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sonnenhof Grossaspach Clean Sheet 17%
Freiburg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonnenhof Grossaspach Freiburg II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Freiburg II
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2:4
Mar 14, 2021 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3:0
Sep 30, 2020 Regionalliga Sudwest
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Freiburg II
0:5
Jul 12, 2017 Club Friendly
Freiburg II vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonnenhof Grossaspach Compare

Top Goalscorer Celiktas V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maier L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Freiburg II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonnenhof Grossaspach 39 / 100
Freiburg II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonnenhof Grossaspach Freiburg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonnenhof Grossaspach's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Freiburg II let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sonnenhof Grossaspach stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonnenhof Grossaspach VS Freiburg II
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonnenhof Grossaspach

(Home)
25 Jul
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 7
Darmstadt
21 Jul
Aalen
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18 Jul
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 0
Hoffenheim II
11 Jul
Bietigheim-Bissingen
0 : 7
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
08 Jul
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 0
1. CfR Pforzheim
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Freiburg II

(Away)
25 Jul
Freiburg II
3 : 0
Hoffenheim II
18 Jul
Freiburg II
1 : 1
Schaffhausen
15 Jul
Freiburg II
0 : 3
Bochum II
11 Jul
Ravensburg
0 : 2
Freiburg II
16 May
Mainz II
0 : 4
Freiburg II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)