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Sonseca vs Manchego Ciudad Real

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Flores D.
90' Event
Llanos L.

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchego Ciudad Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sonseca
15%
Draws
57%
Manchego Ciudad Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sonseca haven't matched Manchego Ciudad Real's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Manchego Ciudad Real a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 20%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonseca Manchego Ciudad Real
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Sonseca
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonseca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Llanos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonseca 20 / 100
Manchego Ciudad Real 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonseca Manchego Ciudad Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sonseca scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Manchego Ciudad Real conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Sonseca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonseca VS Manchego Ciudad Real
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.5
83% Over 1.5 38%
67% Over 2.5 0%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonseca

(Home)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
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Manchego Ciudad Real

(Away)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)