Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sonthofen in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sonthofen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonthofen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sonthofen lately — more wins on the board than Bogen.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Sonthofen taking it.
- Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sonthofen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 20%
Bogen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sonthofen | Bogen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 12, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Bogen
4:1
Jul 23, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Sonthofen
1:1
Apr 16, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Sonthofen
1:5
Sep 19, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Bogen
2:1
Nov 15, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Sonthofen
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sonthofen 58 / 100
Bogen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sonthofen Bogen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sonthofen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bogen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Sonthofen's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Bogen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sonthofen VS Bogen
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Sonthofen
(Home) 02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0 Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0 TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0 Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4 Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1 Memmingen
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24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0 TSV Schwabmunchen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4 Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1 Memmingen
19 Apr
Sonthofen
3 : 1 SV Erlbach
05 Apr
Sonthofen
3 : 2 Ismaning
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Bogen
(Away) 08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0 Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1 SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0 Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2 Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0 Bogen
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08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0 Bogen
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0 Bogen
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0 Bogen
30 Apr
Regensburg II
3 : 1 Bogen
15 Apr
Rain/Lech
4 : 1 Bogen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pullach | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 73:32 | 73 |
| 2 | Unterfohring | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 62:42 | 69 |
| 3 | Pipinsried | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 55:38 | 63 |
| 4 | TSV Schwabmunchen | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:43 | 60 |
| 5 | Dachau | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:49 | 60 |
| 6 | Vilzing | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:48 | 52 |
| 7 | Heimstetten | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 68:52 | 52 |
| 8 | Kirchanschoring | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 40:39 | 48 |
| 9 | Sonthofen | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 55:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Rain/Lech | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 64:58 | 46 |
| 11 | Ismaning | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 52:52 | 42 |
| 12 | Kottern-St. Mang | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 64:72 | 39 |
| 13 | Hankofen-Hailing | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 36:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Wolfratshausen | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 44:66 | 34 |
| 15 | Landsberg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Regensburg II | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 53:56 | 33 |
| 17 | Bogen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 34:62 | 31 |
| 18 | Gundelfingen | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 39:67 | 27 |
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
