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Sorrento vs Armadale

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Percy Doyle Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Morrison S.
69' Event
Desmond L.
81' Event
Griffiths L.

AI Match Summary

Armadale in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Armadale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sorrento
30%
Draws
47%
Armadale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Armadale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sorrento have won more games recently than Armadale.
  • Win probability leans Armadale's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Armadale have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Armadale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Armadale
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Sorrento
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Sorrento
4:2
Jun 7, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Armadale
1:5
Aug 26, 2023 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Armadale
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Desmond L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 10 / 100
Armadale 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Armadale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armadale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorrento scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Armadale has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sorrento remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Armadale
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
1 : 1
Sorrento
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
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Armadale

(Away)
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)