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Sorrento vs Perth Azzurri

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Percy Doyle Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Perkins G.
69' Event
Ali Kisesa R.
90' Event
Perkins G.

AI Match Summary

Perth Azzurri in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perth Azzurri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sorrento
15%
Draws
64%
Perth Azzurri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perth Azzurri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perth Azzurri lately — more wins on the board than Sorrento.
  • Perth Azzurri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%
Perth Azzurri Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Perth Azzurri
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.1 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Sorrento
3:1
May 16, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Perth Azzurri
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Sorrento
1:3
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Perth Azzurri
0:3
Mar 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Sorrento vs Perth Azzurri
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Kisesa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Perth Azzurri Compare

Top Goalscorer Perkins G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 10 / 100
Perth Azzurri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Perth Azzurri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Azzurri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorrento found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Perth Azzurri let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Sorrento went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Perth Azzurri
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
1 : 1
Sorrento
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
Page 1 of 6

Perth Azzurri

(Away)
12 Sept
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Azzurri
08 Sept
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 2
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)