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Sorrento vs Perth Azzurri

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Percy Doyle Reserve
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Perkins G.
69' Event
Ali Kisesa R.
90' Event
Perkins G.

AI Match Summary

Perth Azzurri in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perth Azzurri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sorrento
11%
Draws
80%
Perth Azzurri
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Perth Azzurri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perth Azzurri lately — more wins on the board than Sorrento.
  • Perth Azzurri are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%
Perth Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Perth Azzurri
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Perth Azzurri
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Sorrento
1:3
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Perth Azzurri
0:3
Mar 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Sorrento vs Perth Azzurri
4:3
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Perth Azzurri vs Sorrento
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Kisesa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Perth Azzurri Compare

Top Goalscorer Perkins G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 10 / 100
Perth Azzurri 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Perth Azzurri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorrento found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Perth Azzurri let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sorrento went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Perth Azzurri
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar18114329:2337
2Olympic Kingsway18113440:2536
3Bayswater17104342:2334
4Fremantle City1987438:2731
5Perth Azzurri1887343:3431
6Stirling Macedonia1872932:2923
7Western Knights1865734:3323
8Dianella White Eagle1855828:3420
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale18441033:4716
11Perth Glory U2318351030:3814
12Balcatta18421226:4914