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Sorrento vs Western Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Percy Doyle Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Gibbs C.

AI Match Summary

Sorrento in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sorrento
40%
Draws
29%
Western Knights
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Western Knights at 1.38 per game, Sorrento at 1.13.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 12%
Western Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Western Knights
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Sorrento
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Western Knights
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Western Knights
2:1
May 31, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Sorrento
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Sorrento vs Western Knights
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbs C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Western Knights Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 30 / 100
Western Knights 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Western Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorrento found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Western Knights conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Sorrento went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Western Knights
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
04 Jul
Western Knights
2 : 0
Sorrento
27 Jun
Dianella White Eagle
2 : 1
Sorrento
20 Jun
Sorrento
0 : 3
Armadale
13 Jun
Stirling Macedonia
0 : 1
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

Western Knights

(Away)
17 Jul
Perth Azzurri
3 : 3
Western Knights
04 Jul
Western Knights
2 : 0
Sorrento
27 Jun
Fremantle City
3 : 0
Western Knights
20 Jun
Western Knights
4 : 4
Bayswater
13 Jun
Dianella White Eagle
1 : 0
Western Knights
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar18114329:2337
2Olympic Kingsway18113440:2536
3Bayswater17104342:2334
4Fremantle City1987438:2731
5Perth Azzurri1887343:3431
6Stirling Macedonia1872932:2923
7Western Knights1865734:3323
8Dianella White Eagle1855828:3420
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale18441033:4716
11Perth Glory U2318351030:3814
12Balcatta18421226:4914
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)