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Sorrento vs Western Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Percy Doyle Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Gibbs C.

AI Match Summary

Sorrento in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sorrento
35%
Draws
28%
Western Knights
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Western Knights at 1.7 per game, Sorrento at 1.1.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Western Knights taking it.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%
Western Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Western Knights
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Sorrento
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Western Knights
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Western Knights
2:1
May 31, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Sorrento
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Sorrento vs Western Knights
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbs C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Western Knights Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 10 / 100
Western Knights 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Western Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Western Knights Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorrento found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Western Knights conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Sorrento went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Western Knights
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
1 : 1
Sorrento
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
Page 1 of 6

Western Knights

(Away)
22 Aug
Stirling Macedonia
3 : 1
Western Knights
15 Aug
Western Knights
0 : 0
Balcatta
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Western Knights
1 : 2
Olympic Kingsway
17 Jul
Perth Azzurri
3 : 3
Western Knights
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)