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Sorriso EC vs Cacerense

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Sorriso EC Logo

Sorriso EC

1 - 2
FT
Cacerense Logo

Cacerense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sorriso EC
15%
Draws
64%
Cacerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Sorriso EC haven't matched Cacerense's recent run of results.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Sorriso EC taking it.
  • Cacerense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cacerense, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sorriso EC Clean Sheet 16%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorriso EC Cacerense
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.23 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Sorriso EC vs Cacerense
1:2
May 21, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sorriso EC vs Cacerense
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorriso EC 66 / 100
Cacerense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorriso EC Cacerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorriso EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorriso EC scored in 92% of their last 13 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cacerense let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sorriso EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorriso EC VS Cacerense
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorriso EC

(Home)
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
21 May
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cacerense
17 May
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 1
Sorriso EC
01 May
Sorriso EC
9 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 3

Cacerense

(Away)
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Santa Cruz MT 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Várzea Grande EC 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Chapada 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Uirapuru 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Cacerense 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
3 Campo Novo 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Sorriso EC 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)