Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Gausdal L.
Assist: Flo E.
50'
50'
Haland T.
Assist: Wik S.
1'
1'
Hovland E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sotra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sotra lately — more wins on the board than Sogndal.
- Sotra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Sotra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sogndal, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sotra Clean Sheet 14%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sotra | Sogndal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 NM Cup
Sotra vs Sogndal
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sotra Compare
Top Goalscorer Haland T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Sogndal Compare
Top Goalscorer Gausdal L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sotra 84 / 100
Sogndal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sotra Sogndal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sotra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sotra's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Sogndal has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Sogndal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sotra VS Sogndal
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sotra
(Home) 04 Oct
Brattvag
3 : 2 Sotra
26 Sept
Sotra
3 : 2 Pors
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1 Sotra
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2 Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0 Sandviken
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sotra
3 : 2 Pors
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2 Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0 Sandviken
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0 Vidar
16 Aug
Sotra
2 : 1 Traeff
Page 1 of 3
Sogndal
(Away) 20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1 Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2 Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1 Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0 Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3 Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1 Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2 Sogndal
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0 Sogndal
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2 Sogndal
21 Aug
Fjora
0 : 8 Sogndal
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum 1
Lillestrom 5
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK 2
Bodo/Glimt 6
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL 0
Viking 3
Honefoss 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint 0
Sandefjord 1
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
Lillestrom -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
Bodo/Glimt -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
Viking -
KFUM Oslo -
Raufoss 1
Start 5
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
Sandefjord -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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