Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sotra vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sotra in this Division 3 - Group 4 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sotra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Sotra
15%
Draws
18%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sotra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Sotra have won more games recently than Varegg.
  • Model gives Sotra a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sotra Clean Sheet 17%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sotra Varegg
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.15 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Sotra
0:12
Apr 28, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Sotra vs Varegg
0:1
Sep 2, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Sotra vs Varegg
2:1
May 20, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Sotra
4:2
Sep 16, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Sotra vs Varegg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sotra 84 / 100
Varegg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sotra Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sotra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sotra found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Varegg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Sotra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sotra VS Varegg
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sotra

(Home)
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Sandviken
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Vidar
30 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 3
Sotra
22 Aug
Froya
0 : 6
Sotra
16 Aug
Sotra
2 : 1
Traeff
Page 1 of 6

Varegg

(Away)
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
Page 1 of 6