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Sousa vs Atletico Cajazeirense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Felipe Jacare
31' Event
Diego Viana
35'
Bruno Goncalves

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Sousa and Atletico Cajazeirense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sousa
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Cajazeirense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sousa haven't matched Atletico Cajazeirense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paraibano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sousa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sousa Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Cajazeirense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Atletico Cajazeirense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Atletico Cajazeirense
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 Paraibano
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Sousa
1:2
Mar 16, 2022 Paraibano
Sousa vs Atletico Cajazeirense
0:0
Mar 13, 2022 Paraibano
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Sousa
0:2
May 9, 2021 Paraibano
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Sousa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Jacare
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Viana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Atletico Cajazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Goncalves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 41 / 100
Atletico Cajazeirense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Atletico Cajazeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sousa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousa found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Atletico Cajazeirense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Atletico Cajazeirense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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Atletico Cajazeirense

(Away)
22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Confianca PB
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
11 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
07 Feb
Sousa
2 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)