Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sousa vs Confianca PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Sousa Logo

Sousa

3 - 0
FT
Confianca PB Logo

Confianca PB

Our Tip

Match Events

47'
Jailton
48'
Sub
Veraldo In: Aslen
Out: Veraldo
48'
Sub
Nathan In: da Cruz I. J.
Out: Nathan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Sousa and Confianca PB finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sousa
15%
Draws
51%
Confianca PB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Confianca PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sousa have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Confianca PB are scoring more at 1.47.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sousa Clean Sheet 20%
Confianca PB Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Confianca PB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Confianca PB
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Natalicio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luis Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Confianca PB Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 36 / 100
Confianca PB 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Confianca PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Confianca PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sousa scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Confianca PB let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Confianca PB's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 6

Confianca PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Confianca PB
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Confianca PB
01 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 0
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)