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Sousa vs Juazeirense

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao), Sousa
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Luis Henrique
12'
Pedro Costa
21' Event
Everton Heleno

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa do Nordeste tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sousa
30%
Draws
34%
Juazeirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sousa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sousa have won more games recently than Juazeirense.
  • Win probability leans Sousa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Sousa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sousa Clean Sheet 20%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Juazeirense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sousa vs Juazeirense
2:2
Jun 18, 2017 Serie D
Sousa vs Juazeirense
2:2
May 27, 2017 Serie D
Juazeirense vs Sousa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Heleno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Juazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon Almeida
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 36 / 100
Juazeirense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Juazeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousa's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Juazeirense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Sousa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS Juazeirense
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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Juazeirense

(Away)
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
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