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Sousa vs Sao Paulo Crystal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Goncalves Felix R.
59' Event
Diego Ceara
80' Event
Estevan

AI Match Summary

Sousa in this Paraibano 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sousa
15%
Draws
51%
Sao Paulo Crystal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo Crystal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sousa have won more games recently than Sao Paulo Crystal.
  • Model gives Sousa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraibano 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sousa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sousa Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Paulo Crystal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Sao Paulo Crystal
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2024 Paraibano
Sousa vs Sao Paulo Crystal
4:0
Jan 19, 2023 Paraibano
Sao Paulo Crystal vs Sousa
0:1
Jul 3, 2022 Serie D
Sousa vs Sao Paulo Crystal
1:0
Apr 30, 2022 Serie D
Sao Paulo Crystal vs Sousa
2:3
Mar 9, 2022 Paraibano
Sousa vs Sao Paulo Crystal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves Felix R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Ceara
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sao Paulo Crystal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 42 / 100
Sao Paulo Crystal 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Sao Paulo Crystal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sousa scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Sao Paulo Crystal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Sao Paulo Crystal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS Sao Paulo Crystal
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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Sao Paulo Crystal

(Away)
07 Oct
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 1
Serrano PB
03 Oct
Femar
0 : 2
Sao Paulo Crystal
30 Sept
Santa Rita
4 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
27 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
1 : 3
Auto Esporte
23 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
4 : 3
Spartax
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 9 7 0 2 18:6 21
2 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Botafogo PB 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
4 Sousa 9 4 2 3 11:6 14
5 CSP 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
6 Campinense 9 3 2 4 6:10 11
7 Nacional PB 9 3 1 5 7:10 10
8 Pombal 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
9 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 1 1 7 4:22 4
10 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 2 4 8:8 -2
Promotion - Paraibano 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2025 (Main)