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Sousense vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 game between Sousense and SC Espinho finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sousense
15%
Draws
51%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sousense haven't matched SC Espinho's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SC Espinho's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sousense Clean Sheet 16%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousense SC Espinho
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.66 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.58 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sousense vs SC Espinho
1:2
Nov 5, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Espinho vs Sousense
3:0
Jan 18, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sousense vs SC Espinho
4:1
Nov 9, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Espinho vs Sousense
1:2
Jan 20, 2013 Second Division - Zona Centro
Sousense vs SC Espinho
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousense 19 / 100
SC Espinho 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousense SC Espinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sousense found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: SC Espinho conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sousense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sousense VS SC Espinho
0.67 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousense

(Home)
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
25 Jul
Sousense
2 : 1
Uniao Lamas
22 Apr
Sousense
2 : 1
Gondomar
15 Apr
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
08 Apr
Sousense
0 : 2
Amarante FC
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SC Espinho

(Away)
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
30 Apr
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Gondomar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)