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South Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Harpas N.
47' Event
Harpas N.

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Cobras in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide Cobras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Adelaide
20%
Draws
40%
Adelaide Cobras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Adelaide Cobras have won more games recently than South Adelaide.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Adelaide Cobras
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs South Adelaide
4:0
May 31, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs South Adelaide
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Top Goalscorer Harpas N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 29 / 100
Adelaide Cobras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Adelaide Cobras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Adelaide Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Adelaide's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Adelaide Cobras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Adelaide Cobras registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Adelaide Cobras
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South Adelaide

(Home)
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
South Adelaide
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6

Adelaide Cobras

(Away)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
01 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
Blue Eagles
0 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
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