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South Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Harpas N.
47' Event
Harpas N.

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Cobras in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide Cobras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Adelaide
33%
Draws
27%
Adelaide Cobras
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: South Adelaide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Cobras have won more games recently than South Adelaide.
  • Model gives South Adelaide a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 11%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Adelaide Cobras
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs South Adelaide
4:0
May 31, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs South Adelaide
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Top Goalscorer Harpas N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 38 / 100
Adelaide Cobras 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Adelaide Cobras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Adelaide's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Adelaide Cobras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Adelaide Cobras registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Adelaide Cobras
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South Adelaide

(Home)
01 Aug
South Adelaide
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
04 Jul
Blue Eagles
4 : 1
South Adelaide
27 Jun
South Adelaide
0 : 1
Fulham United
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Adelaide Cobras

(Away)
01 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
Blue Eagles
0 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
04 Jul
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 3
Fulham United
27 Jun
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
7 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 20 13 2 5 51:24 41
2 Adelaide Olympic 20 13 1 6 40:24 40
3 Modbury Jets 20 11 5 4 41:20 38
4 Cumberland United 20 11 1 8 36:25 34
5 Fulham United 20 10 3 7 39:30 33
6 Adelaide Atletico 20 10 3 7 35:29 33
7 Blue Eagles 20 9 5 6 33:28 32
8 The Cove FC 20 7 5 8 26:29 26
9 Adelaide Cobras 20 6 2 12 22:39 20
10 Eastern United 20 5 4 11 20:40 19
11 Salisbury United 20 4 2 14 24:44 14
12 South Adelaide 20 3 3 14 22:57 12
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)