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South Adelaide vs Blue Eagles

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Hwang S.
26' Event
Cacciavillani D.
45' Event
Thompson J.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between South Adelaide and Blue Eagles finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Adelaide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
South Adelaide
20%
Draws
51%
Blue Eagles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blue Eagles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blue Eagles come out ahead of South Adelaide on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Blue Eagles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Blue Eagles
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 SA State League
Blue Eagles vs South Adelaide
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Blue Eagles
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 SA State League
Blue Eagles vs South Adelaide
2:3
Apr 11, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Blue Eagles
1:4
Sep 4, 2021 NPL South Australia
South Adelaide vs Blue Eagles
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwang S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thompson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Blue Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Cacciavillani D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 30 / 100
Blue Eagles 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Blue Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blue Eagles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blue Eagles let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

South Adelaide found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: South Adelaide remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Blue Eagles
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Adelaide

(Home)
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
South Adelaide
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6

Blue Eagles

(Away)
05 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
29 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 3
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
22 Aug
Fulham United
2 : 3
Blue Eagles
15 Aug
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Eastern United
08 Aug
Fulham United
0 : 0
Blue Eagles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)