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South Adelaide vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Taylor M.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League 2025 game between South Adelaide and Salisbury United finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
South Adelaide
39%
Draws
30%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salisbury United come out ahead of South Adelaide on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and South Adelaide have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Salisbury United
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Salisbury United
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Salisbury United
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 SA State League
Salisbury United vs South Adelaide
0:4
Feb 10, 2018 Club Friendly
Salisbury United vs South Adelaide
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 30 / 100
Salisbury United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Salisbury United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South Adelaide scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Salisbury United let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Salisbury United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Salisbury United
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sturt Lions FC22191258:1858
2Fulham United22143548:2245
3West Adelaide22124646:2340
4Salisbury United22114736:3237
5Blue Eagles22104844:2734
6Cumberland United221011135:3431
7The Cove FC2294940:4431
8Adelaide Olympic2286830:3330
9Adelaide Cobras22741132:4525
10South Adelaide22531428:4218
11Adelaide Vipers22461223:4218
12Pontian Eagles22221815:738