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South Africa U17 vs Nigeria U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023
South Africa U17 Logo

South Africa U17

2 - 3
FT
Nigeria U17 Logo

Nigeria U17

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mkhawana V.
34' Event
Agada C.
45' Event
Mabena S.
Assist: Mkhawana V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Nigeria U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
South Africa U17
15%
Draws
49%
Nigeria U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigeria U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigeria U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Nigeria U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
South Africa U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Nigeria U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa U17 Nigeria U17
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.82 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
South Africa U17 vs Nigeria U17
2:3
Feb 25, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Nigeria U17 vs South Africa U17
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mkhawana V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mabena S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.91

Nigeria U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agada C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eke L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.9
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa U17 30 / 100
Nigeria U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa U17 Nigeria U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa U17 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Nigeria U17 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nigeria U17's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Africa U17 VS Nigeria U17
1.25 Goals Scored 1.8
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa U17

(Home)
20 May
South Africa U17
1 : 3
Ghana U17
17 May
South Africa U17
0 : 2
Algeria U17
14 May
Senegal U17
1 : 2
South Africa U17
15 Nov
Japan U17
3 : 0
South Africa U17
09 Nov
Italy U17
3 : 1
South Africa U17
Page 1 of 7

Nigeria U17

(Away)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
Nigeria U17
2 : 3
Tanzania U17
11 May
Nigeria U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
06 May
South Africa U17
2 : 3
Nigeria U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Congo U17 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Somalia U17 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Nigeria U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Zambia U17 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U17 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Burkina Faso U17 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Cameroon U17 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 South Sudan U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams