Sport Picks

Africa

African Games 2011

Senegal U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Africa U23 play Senegal U23 in the African Games 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Africa U23 averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Senegal U23 averaged 1 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, South Africa U23 won 2, Senegal U23 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 12, 2015 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.87 for South Africa U23 and 1.19 for Senegal U23. This points to a South Africa U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

South Africa U23

19%

Draws

39%

Senegal U23

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: South Africa U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

South Africa U23 picked up more points recently compared to Senegal U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.87 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

South Africa U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	South Africa U23	Senegal U23
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	11	11
Draws	9	7
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.21	1
Goals Conceded	1.17	0.85
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U23

Senegal U23 vs South Africa U23

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

Nov 28, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U23

Senegal U23 vs South Africa U23

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Sep 13, 2011 African Games

South Africa U23 vs Senegal U23

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa U23 42 / 100

Senegal U23 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

South Africa U23 Senegal U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Africa U23 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Africa U23 attacking → ← attacking Senegal U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa U23 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Senegal U23 let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

South Africa U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Senegal U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 40

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.86