Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019

Zambia U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Africa U23 play Zambia U23 in the Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Africa U23 averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Zambia U23 averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, South Africa U23 won 1, Zambia U23 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 9, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for South Africa U23 and 1.06 for Zambia U23. This points to a South Africa U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

South Africa U23

30%

Draws

28%

Zambia U23

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: South Africa U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

South Africa U23 picked up more points recently compared to Zambia U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

South Africa U23 Clean Sheet 22%

Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	South Africa U23	Zambia U23
Matches Played	29	17
Wins	11	5
Draws	9	5
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.21	0.94
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23

South Africa U23 vs Zambia U23

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Dec 1, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U23

South Africa U23 vs Zambia U23

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa U23 42 / 100

Zambia U23 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

South Africa U23 Zambia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Africa U23 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Africa U23 attacking → ← attacking Zambia U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa U23 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Zambia U23 let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

South Africa U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zambia U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 20

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt U23	3	3	0	0	6:3	9
2	Ghana U23	3	1	1	1	5:4	4
3	Cameroon U23	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Mali U23	3	0	0	3	0:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast U23	3	2	0	1	2:1	6
2	South Africa U23	3	1	2	0	1:0	5
3	Nigeria U23	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	Zambia U23	3	0	1	2	1:4	1