Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Gqeberha

South Africa

5 - 0

Congo

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Mokoena T.

12'

Mokoena T.

Assist: Appollis O.

27'

Mokoena T.

Assist: Appollis O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Africa in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

South Africa

20%

Draws

10%

Congo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Africa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

South Africa have won more games recently than Congo.
70% — that's where the model lands on South Africa taking it.
South Africa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor South Africa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

South Africa Clean Sheet 68%

Congo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	South Africa	Congo
Matches Played	31	27
Wins	12	3
Draws	13	8
Losses	6	16
Goals Scored	1.35	0.63
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.85
Expected Goals (xG)	1.08	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Congo vs South Africa

1:1

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa vs Congo

5:0

Oct 15, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa vs Congo

0:0

Oct 11, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations

Congo vs South Africa

0:2

Aug 15, 1997 World Championship

South Africa vs Congo

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokoena T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Aubaas B. J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.83

Avg xA / game 0.54

Congo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa 77 / 100

Congo 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

South Africa Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Africa Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Congo has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

South Africa's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

South Africa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Africa VS Congo

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa

(Home)

26 Sept

South Africa

2 : 1

Guinea

28 Jun

South Africa

0 : 1

Canada

25 Jun

South Africa

1 : 0

South Korea

18 Jun

Czech Republic

1 : 1

South Africa

11 Jun

Mexico

2 : 0

South Africa

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Congo

(Away)

24 Sept

Namibia

1 : 0

Congo

14 Oct

Morocco

1 : 0

Congo

08 Oct

Niger

3 : 1

Congo

05 Sept

Congo

1 : 1

Tanzania

19 Aug

Nigeria

2 : 0

Congo

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