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South Africa vs Eswatini - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup 2024 Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Gqeberha
South Africa Logo

South Africa

1 - 0
FT
Eswatini Logo

Eswatini

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sibanyoni T.
Assist: Modise M.
45'
Mavuso T.
46'
Sub
Shabalala S. In: Matsebula B.
Out: Shabalala S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Africa in this COSAFA Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
South Africa
15%
Draws
7%
Eswatini
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Africa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Africa lately — more wins on the board than Eswatini.
  • South Africa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • South Africa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors South Africa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
South Africa Clean Sheet 68%
Eswatini Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa Eswatini
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.32 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2024 COSAFA Cup
South Africa vs Eswatini
1:0
Oct 13, 2023 Friendly International
South Africa vs Eswatini
0:0
Jul 11, 2023 COSAFA Cup
South Africa vs Eswatini
2:1
Jul 8, 2021 COSAFA Cup
South Africa vs Eswatini
1:0
Jun 22, 2016 COSAFA Cup
South Africa vs Eswatini
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sibanyoni T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Eswatini Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa 95 / 100
Eswatini 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa Eswatini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Africa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Eswatini conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: South Africa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Africa VS Eswatini
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa

(Home)
04 Oct
Egypt
0 : 1
South Africa
30 Sept
Eritrea
0 : 5
South Africa
26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1
Guinea
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
Page 1 of 7

Eswatini

(Away)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
13 Oct
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Eswatini
08 Oct
Eswatini
2 : 2
Angola
08 Sept
Libya
2 : 0
Eswatini
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mozambique 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
2 South Africa 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Eswatini 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
4 Botswana 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - COSAFA Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Kenya 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Zimbabwe 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Zambia 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Namibia 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Seychelles 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
4 Lesotho 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams