Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Africa W vs Ivory Coast W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Al Medina Stadium, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sery G.
Assist: Ouedraogo N.
36' Event
Sery G.
Assist: Ouedraogo N.
46'
Sub
Majiya N. In: Magaia H.
Out: Majiya N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Africa W
20%
Draws
40%
Ivory Coast W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • South Africa W have won more games recently than Ivory Coast W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • South Africa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 10%
Ivory Coast W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa W Ivory Coast W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Africa W vs Ivory Coast W
2:2
Oct 25, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Africa W vs Ivory Coast W
0:1
Sep 24, 2014 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Ivory Coast W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kgatlana T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magaia H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ivory Coast W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sery G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa W 30 / 100
Ivory Coast W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa W Ivory Coast W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South Africa W scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

South Africa W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ivory Coast W has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Africa W VS Ivory Coast W
1.13 Goals Scored 4.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa W

(Home)
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1
South Africa W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2
Tanzania W
Page 1 of 6

Ivory Coast W

(Away)
13 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Ghana W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
04 Aug
Tanzania W
1 : 2
Ivory Coast W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
Ivory Coast W
4 : 1
Burkina Faso W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)