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South Africa W vs Malawi W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Africa W play Malawi W in the COSAFA Cup Women 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Africa W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Malawi W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, South Africa W won 3, Malawi W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 18, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for South Africa W and 1.06 for Malawi W. This points to a South Africa W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
South Africa W
17%
Draws
13%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • South Africa W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Malawi W.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for South Africa W.
  • Cup tournament structure in COSAFA Cup Women 2020 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 20%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa W Malawi W
Matches Played 47 33
Wins 34 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
2:0
Apr 8, 2025 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
3:0
Oct 4, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
3:4
Oct 7, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa W 67 / 100
Malawi W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa W Malawi W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa W scored in 91% of their last 47 games.

Malawi W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

South Africa W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Malawi W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Africa W VS Malawi W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Botswana W2
Zambia W1
South Africa W6
Malawi W2
Final
Botswana W1
South Africa W2