Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Africa W vs Senegal W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Honneur Stadium, Oujda
Sat, Jul 19, 2025
1 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Ndiaye W.
56'
Seck B.
58'
Sub
Holweni S. In: Motau A.
Out: Holweni S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with South Africa W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
South Africa W
28%
Draws
22%
Senegal W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Africa W come out ahead of Senegal W on wins alone.
  • Model gives South Africa W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • South Africa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and South Africa W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 68%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa W Senegal W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Africa W vs Senegal W
1:0
Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs South Africa W
0:2
Jun 1, 2024 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs South Africa W
1:1
Oct 31, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Africa W vs Senegal W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa W 59 / 100
Senegal W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa W Senegal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa W scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

South Africa W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Senegal W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Africa W VS Senegal W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa W

(Home)
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1
South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0
South Africa W
17 Apr
South Africa W
2 : 0
Algeria W
14 Apr
South Africa W
1 : 0
Algeria W
01 Mar
Namibia W
2 : 1
South Africa W
Page 1 of 7

Senegal W

(Away)
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
08 Jun
Nigeria W
3 : 0
Senegal W
05 Jun
Nigeria W
2 : 1
Senegal W
16 Apr
Senegal W
3 : 3
Burkina Faso W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco W3
Mali W1
Algeria W0
Ghana W1
Nigeria W5
Zambia W0
South Africa W1
Senegal W0
Semi-finals
Morocco W2
Ghana W1
Nigeria W2
South Africa W1
Final
Morocco W2
Nigeria W3
Ghana W2
South Africa W1