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South Cardiff vs Newcastle Croatia

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Croatia in this Northern NSW State League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
South Cardiff
22%
Draws
60%
Newcastle Croatia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Newcastle Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Newcastle Croatia average 3 goals a game right now, well clear of South Cardiff's 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Croatia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Croatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Cardiff Newcastle Croatia
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 0
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.13 3
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Newcastle Croatia
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Newcastle Croatia vs South Cardiff
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Cardiff 18 / 100
Newcastle Croatia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Cardiff Newcastle Croatia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Newcastle Croatia conceded in 100% of 14 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

South Cardiff's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

South Cardiff went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Cardiff VS Newcastle Croatia
1.13 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lake Macquarie14101350:2031
2Wallsend Red Devils1494139:1931
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1470733:3321
5Dudley Redhead United1463521:2221
6West Wallsend FC1353524:3218
7Cessnock City Hornets1452721:2517
8Singleton Strikers1443715:3015
9South Cardiff14311011:2510
10Toronto Awaba Stags14311018:3610