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South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Cardiff play Toronto Awaba Stags in the Northern NSW State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Cardiff averaged 1 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Toronto Awaba Stags averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, South Cardiff won 3, Toronto Awaba Stags won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for South Cardiff and 1.81 for Toronto Awaba Stags. This points to a Toronto Awaba Stags double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
South Cardiff
15%
Draws
49%
Toronto Awaba Stags
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toronto Awaba Stags

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • South Cardiff picked up more points recently compared to Toronto Awaba Stags.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 11%
Toronto Awaba Stags Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Cardiff Toronto Awaba Stags
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
2:1
May 9, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
6:0
Jul 13, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Cardiff 35 / 100
Toronto Awaba Stags 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Cardiff Toronto Awaba Stags

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Toronto Awaba Stags or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Cardiff attacking → ← attacking Toronto Awaba Stags

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Cardiff scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Toronto Awaba Stags let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

South Cardiff went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Toronto Awaba Stags lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 36
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lake Macquarie14101350:2031
2Wallsend Red Devils1494139:1931
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1470733:3321
5Dudley Redhead United1463521:2221
6West Wallsend FC1353524:3218
7Cessnock City Hornets1452721:2517
8Singleton Strikers1443715:3015
9South Cardiff14311011:2510
10Toronto Awaba Stags14311018:3610