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South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
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AI Match Summary

The Northern NSW State League game between South Cardiff and Toronto Awaba Stags finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Cardiff.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
South Cardiff
35%
Draws
37%
Toronto Awaba Stags
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Toronto Awaba Stags

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Toronto Awaba Stags carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives South Cardiff a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 15%
Toronto Awaba Stags Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Cardiff Toronto Awaba Stags
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
2:1
May 9, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
6:0
Jul 13, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Cardiff 39 / 100
Toronto Awaba Stags 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Cardiff Toronto Awaba Stags

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Cardiff Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Cardiff scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Toronto Awaba Stags let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: South Cardiff remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Cardiff VS Toronto Awaba Stags
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Cardiff

(Home)
15 Aug
West Wallsend FC
1 : 1
South Cardiff
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2
South Cardiff
02 Aug
South Cardiff
1 : 4
Wallsend Red Devils
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0
Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
South Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Toronto Awaba Stags

(Away)
15 Aug
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 4
Lake Macquarie
08 Aug
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
Toronto Awaba Stags
26 Jul
West Wallsend FC
0 : 2
Toronto Awaba Stags
21 Jul
New Lambton
5 : 2
Toronto Awaba Stags
12 Jul
Toronto Awaba Stags
2 : 2
Wallsend Red Devils
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lake Macquarie 18 13 2 3 64:24 41
2 Wallsend Red Devils 18 12 4 2 58:26 40
3 Newcastle Croatia 18 11 0 7 45:37 33
4 New Lambton 18 10 2 6 41:30 32
5 Dudley Redhead United 18 8 4 6 26:26 28
6 Cessnock City Hornets 18 6 2 10 31:40 20
7 West Wallsend FC 18 5 4 9 27:47 19
8 Singleton Strikers 18 5 3 10 20:42 18
9 South Cardiff 18 3 4 11 15:32 13
10 Toronto Awaba Stags 18 4 1 13 23:46 13
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)