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South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League 2025
South Cardiff Logo

South Cardiff

2 - 1
FT
Toronto Awaba Stags Logo

Toronto Awaba Stags

Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Arthur B.
62' Event
Nyman E.
86' Event
Banek J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Cardiff in this Northern NSW State League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Cardiff.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
South Cardiff
35%
Draws
37%
Toronto Awaba Stags
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Toronto Awaba Stags

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toronto Awaba Stags lately — more wins on the board than South Cardiff.
  • South Cardiff are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 15%
Toronto Awaba Stags Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Cardiff Toronto Awaba Stags
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
2:1
May 9, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
6:0
Jul 13, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Cardiff Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyman E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Toronto Awaba Stags Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Cardiff 39 / 100
Toronto Awaba Stags 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Cardiff Toronto Awaba Stags

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Cardiff Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Cardiff scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Toronto Awaba Stags's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

South Cardiff went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Cardiff VS Toronto Awaba Stags
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Cardiff

(Home)
15 Aug
West Wallsend FC
1 : 1
South Cardiff
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2
South Cardiff
02 Aug
South Cardiff
1 : 4
Wallsend Red Devils
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0
Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
South Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Toronto Awaba Stags

(Away)
15 Aug
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 4
Lake Macquarie
08 Aug
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
Toronto Awaba Stags
26 Jul
West Wallsend FC
0 : 2
Toronto Awaba Stags
21 Jul
New Lambton
5 : 2
Toronto Awaba Stags
12 Jul
Toronto Awaba Stags
2 : 2
Wallsend Red Devils
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kahibah 18 15 2 1 48:19 47
2 Toronto Awaba Stags 18 12 2 4 47:19 38
3 West Wallsend FC 18 6 7 5 35:30 25
4 Singleton Strikers 18 6 4 8 29:27 22
5 Dudley Redhead United 18 7 1 10 23:33 22
6 Wallsend Red Devils 18 6 3 9 26:37 21
7 Lake Macquarie 18 6 2 10 37:43 20
8 South Cardiff 18 5 5 8 24:41 20
9 Cessnock City Hornets 18 5 4 9 22:30 19
10 Thornton Redbacks 18 5 4 9 28:40 19
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW 2025 (Relegation)