Sport Picks
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
Australia
Northern NSW State League 2025 
Match Events
61'
61'
Arthur B.
62'
62'
Nyman E.
86'
86'
Banek J.
AI Match Summary
South Cardiff in this Northern NSW State League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Cardiff.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: South Cardiff
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Toronto Awaba Stags lately — more wins on the board than South Cardiff.
- South Cardiff are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Northern NSW State League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 11%
Toronto Awaba Stags Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Cardiff | Toronto Awaba Stags |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 3.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
2:1
May 9, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
6:0
Jul 13, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Nyman E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Banek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Toronto Awaba Stags Compare
Top Goalscorer Arthur B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Cardiff 38 / 100
Toronto Awaba Stags 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Cardiff Toronto Awaba Stags
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Cardiff scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Toronto Awaba Stags's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Toronto Awaba Stags lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Cardiff VS Toronto Awaba Stags
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
South Cardiff
(Home) 11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0 South Cardiff
04 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 1 New Lambton
20 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 0 South Cardiff
14 Jun
Cessnock City Hornets
0 : 2 South Cardiff
10 Jun
South Cardiff
1 : 3 Newcastle Croatia
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 1 New Lambton
10 Jun
South Cardiff
1 : 3 Newcastle Croatia
06 Jun
South Cardiff
2 : 2 West Wallsend FC
16 May
South Cardiff
1 : 6 Lake Macquarie
18 Apr
South Cardiff
0 : 1 Singleton Strikers
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Toronto Awaba Stags
(Away) 12 Jul
Toronto Awaba Stags
2 : 2 Wallsend Red Devils
27 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
0 : 2 Cessnock City Hornets
20 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 0 South Cardiff
13 Jun
Newcastle Croatia
5 : 4 Toronto Awaba Stags
10 Jun
Lake Macquarie
3 : 0 Toronto Awaba Stags
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13 Jun
Newcastle Croatia
5 : 4 Toronto Awaba Stags
10 Jun
Lake Macquarie
3 : 0 Toronto Awaba Stags
31 May
Dudley Redhead United
3 : 0 Toronto Awaba Stags
19 Apr
Wallsend Red Devils
6 : 3 Toronto Awaba Stags
11 Apr
Cessnock City Hornets
3 : 0 Toronto Awaba Stags
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kahibah | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 48:19 | 47 |
| 2 | Toronto Awaba Stags | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 47:19 | 38 |
| 3 | West Wallsend FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35:30 | 25 |
| 4 | Singleton Strikers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 5 | Dudley Redhead United | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 23:33 | 22 |
| 6 | Wallsend Red Devils | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26:37 | 21 |
| 7 | Lake Macquarie | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 37:43 | 20 |
| 8 | South Cardiff | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24:41 | 20 |
| 9 | Cessnock City Hornets | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:30 | 19 |
| 10 | Thornton Redbacks | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 28:40 | 19 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW 2025 (Relegation)