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South China vs Eastern AA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2016/2017 Hong Kong Stadium, Hongkong
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with South China advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
South China
15%
Draws
42%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern AA come out ahead of South China on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
South China Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South China Eastern AA
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 14 19
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.47 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 Premier League
South China vs Eastern AA
1:6
Apr 30, 2017 FA Cup
South China vs Eastern AA
1:0
Mar 18, 2017 Premier League
Eastern AA vs South China
4:3
Oct 2, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Eastern AA
2:2
Apr 22, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Eastern AA
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South China 32 / 100
Eastern AA 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South China Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern AA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South China scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Eastern AA has conceded goals in 70% of their last 44 outings.

Away concern: Eastern AA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South China

(Home)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 6

Eastern AA

(Away)
09 Oct
Eastern AA
1 : 3
North District
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Pegasus 0
Kitchee 1
Southern District 3
King Fung Football Club 1
Hong Kong Rangers 1
South China 2
Yuen Long 0
Eastern AA 4
Semi-finals
Kitchee 2
Southern District 1
South China 1
Eastern AA 0
Final
Kitchee 2
South China 1