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South China vs Pegasus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2015/2016
Wed, May 18, 2016
1 - 2
12:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Pegasus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
South China
15%
Draws
51%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pegasus haven't matched South China's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • South China have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pegasus, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pegasus have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
South China Clean Sheet 20%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South China Pegasus
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 Premier League
South China vs Pegasus
0:2
Dec 10, 2016 Premier League
Pegasus vs South China
2:1
May 18, 2016 Sapling Cup
South China vs Pegasus
1:2
Apr 17, 2016 FA Cup
South China vs Pegasus
1:3
Feb 29, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Pegasus
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South China 32 / 100
Pegasus 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South China Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South China scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Pegasus has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

South China went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pegasus
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

South China

(Home)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 6

Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Eastern AA 0
South China 3
Pegasus 1
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Final
South China 1
Pegasus 2