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South East United U21 vs Hobart United

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hobart United in this Tasmania Southern Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hobart United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
South East United U21
6%
Draws
90%
Hobart United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hobart United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hobart United lately — more wins on the board than South East United U21.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Hobart United taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
South East United U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South East United U21 Hobart United
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 0 8
Draws 0 3
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 0.86 1.5
Goals Conceded 7.14 6.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.14 6.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
South East United U21 vs Hobart United
3:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South East United U21 10 / 100
Hobart United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South East United U21 Hobart United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hobart United conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Hobart United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: South East United U21 scored in 50% of their last 6 outings.

Scoring Trends

South East United U21 VS Hobart United
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
7.14 Goals Conceded 6.13
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
71% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

South East United U21

(Home)
03 May
South East United U21
3 : 6
Hobart United
18 Apr
South East United U21
0 : 3
University of Tasmania
11 Apr
South Hobart U21
11 : 0
South East United U21
29 Mar
South East United U21
0 : 6
Taroona
21 Mar
Glenorchy Knights U21
19 : 2
South East United U21
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Hobart United

(Away)
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Taroona
1 : 1
Hobart United
27 Jun
Clarence Zebras U21
2 : 2
Hobart United
20 Jun
New Town Eagles
6 : 3
Hobart United
13 Jun
Hobart United
2 : 3
University of Tasmania
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U2114101367:2031
2Olympia Warriors1491439:2328
3Hobart City1484239:2428
4New Town Eagles1475248:1726
5Taroona1473447:2124
6Clarence Zebras U211471636:3622
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania14311027:5310
9Glenorchy Knights U2114221031:588
10South East United U2160066:500
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)