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South Hobart U21 vs Taroona

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Hobart U21 host Taroona in the Tasmania Southern Championship. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Taroona have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while South Hobart U21 have conceded 1.5 and scored 4.38. Past meetings favor Taroona slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.81 xG vs 2.69) point toward South Hobart U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Hobart U21
6%
Draws
4%
Taroona
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Taroona haven't matched South Hobart U21's recent run of results.
  • South Hobart U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
South Hobart U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Taroona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart U21 Taroona
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 23 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 4.38 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Taroona vs South Hobart U21
2:3
Jul 12, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Taroona vs South Hobart U21
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Taroona
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Taroona vs South Hobart U21
9:0
May 12, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Taroona
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart U21 83 / 100
Taroona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart U21 Taroona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Taroona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

South Hobart U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart U21 VS Taroona
4.38 Goals Scored 3.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U2114101367:2031
2Olympia Warriors1491439:2328
3Hobart City1484239:2428
4New Town Eagles1475248:1726
5Taroona1473447:2124
6Clarence Zebras U211471636:3622
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania14311027:5310
9Glenorchy Knights U2114221031:588
10South East United U2160066:500