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South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Darcy Street
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Clothier J.
Own Goal
29' Event
Yost A.
59' Event
Morton N.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between South Hobart and Glenorchy Knights finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Hobart
6%
Draws
4%
Glenorchy Knights
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Hobart carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Hobart taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Hobart here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Glenorchy Knights
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 3.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights
6:1
Mar 27, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart
1:2
Aug 1, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights
3:0
Mar 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Yost A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morton N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Walpole T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 95 / 100
Glenorchy Knights 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Glenorchy Knights

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Glenorchy Knights's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: South Hobart remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Glenorchy Knights
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%