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South Hobart vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Darcy Street
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lancaster J.
28' Event
Kemp K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between South Hobart and Ulverstone finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Hobart
6%
Draws
4%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Hobart carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans South Hobart's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Ulverstone
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 4 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Ulverstone
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs South Hobart
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Lancaster J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kemp K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Ulverstone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 95 / 100
Ulverstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Ulverstone

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Ulverstone let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

South Hobart went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Ulverstone
4 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%