Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Korea U17 W vs Philippines U17 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 Suzhou Taihu Football Sports Centre (Pitch 8), Suzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Kim Ji-Eun
6' Event
Baek Seo-Yeong
14' Event
Baek Seo-Yeong

AI Match Summary

South Korea U17 W in this AFC Asian Cup Women U17 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Korea U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Philippines U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Korea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea U17 W have won more games recently than Philippines U17 W.
  • Model gives South Korea U17 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • South Korea U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Korea U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
South Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 17%
Philippines U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U17 W Philippines U17 W
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 9 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 2.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
South Korea U17 W vs Philippines U17 W
5:0
May 12, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
South Korea U17 W vs Philippines U17 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baek Seo-Yeong
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Philippines U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U17 W 84 / 100
Philippines U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U17 W Philippines U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines U17 W let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: South Korea U17 W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Philippines U17 W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U17 W VS Philippines U17 W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea U17 W

(Home)
11 May
Japan U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
08 May
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0
South Korea U17 W
05 May
Chinese Taipei U17 W
0 : 4
South Korea U17 W
02 May
South Korea U17 W
5 : 0
Philippines U17 W
25 Oct
Colombia U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Philippines U17 W

(Away)
08 May
Philippines U17 W
0 : 0
Chinese Taipei U17 W
05 May
Philippines U17 W
0 : 8
North Korea U17 W
02 May
South Korea U17 W
5 : 0
Philippines U17 W
12 May
South Korea U17 W
1 : 1
Philippines U17 W
09 May
Philippines U17 W
0 : 6
North Korea U17 W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China U17 W330015:09
2Vietnam U17 W31114:64
3Thailand U17 W31113:84
4Myanmar U17 W30031:90
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U17 W330021:09
2Australia U17 W31113:64
3India U17 W31024:53
4Lebanon U17 W30121:181
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U17 W330021:09
2South Korea U17 W32019:36
3Philippines U17 W30120:131
4Chinese Taipei U17 W30120:141
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams