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Stadium Background

South Korea U20 vs Lebanon U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hong S.
23' Event
Lee Chan-Wook
90' Event
El Hajj H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 game between South Korea U20 and Lebanon U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
South Korea U20
6%
Draws
90%
Lebanon U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lebanon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lebanon U20 haven't matched South Korea U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lebanon U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
South Korea U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lebanon U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U20 Lebanon U20
Matches Played 27 23
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
South Korea U20 vs Lebanon U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hong S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Chan-Wook
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lebanon U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U20 10 / 100
Lebanon U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U20 Lebanon U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 23 matches.

South Korea U20 scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: South Korea U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U20 VS Lebanon U20
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Syria U20440016:112
2Vietnam U20430112:29
3Bangladesh U2041125:114
4Guam U2040224:162
5Bhutan U2040132:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U20440021:112
2Cambodia U2042116:97
3Bahrain U2042025:66
4Nepal U2041034:153
5Chinese Taipei U2040133:81
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U20440018:212
2United Arab Emirates U20421117:57
3Kuwait U2042119:37
4Lebanon U20410311:83
5Northern Mariana Islands U2040040:370
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U20431010:010
2Australia U2043106:110
3Afghanistan U2041121:64
4Palestine U2040222:42
5Macau U2040131:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U2043107:010
2Oman U2042029:46
3Tajikistan U2042025:56
4Malaysia U2041213:35
5Sri Lanka U2040131:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indonesia U2032108:27
2Yemen U2032107:27
3Timor-Leste U2031026:73
4Maldives U2030031:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U20330017:09
2India U2032016:26
3Laos U2031026:103
4Mongolia U2030031:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U20330018:09
2Thailand U20320118:16
3Philippines U2031024:73
4Brunei U2030030:320
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U2032109:17
2Kyrgyzstan U2032104:17
3Turkmenistan U2031024:43
4Myanmar U2030031:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qatar U2033008:29
2Jordan U20320111:36
3Hong Kong U2031022:93
4Singapore U2030030:70