Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium
Thu, Apr 25, 2024
2 - 3
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Struick R.
20'
Struick R.
45' Event
Teguh K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Indonesia U23 in this AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indonesia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
South Korea U23
44%
Draws
20%
Indonesia U23
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • South Korea U23 have won more games recently than Indonesia U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Korea U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U23 Indonesia U23
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23
1:0
Apr 25, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23
2:3
Mar 31, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Indonesia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Struick R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U23 36 / 100
Indonesia U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U23 Indonesia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

South Korea U23's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Indonesia U23 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: South Korea U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U23 VS Indonesia U23
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Qatar U232
Japan U234
Iraq U231
Vietnam U230
South Korea U232
Indonesia U233
Uzbekistan U232
Saudi Arabia U230
Semi-finals
Japan U232
Iraq U230
Indonesia U230
Uzbekistan U232
Final
Japan U231
Uzbekistan U230
Iraq U232
Indonesia U231