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South Korea vs Ghana

World World

Friendly International 2025 Seoul World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu In: Kim Jin-Gyu
Out: Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
46'
Sub
Castrop J. In: Seo Min-Woo
Out: Castrop J.
54'
Adu P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between South Korea and Ghana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Korea
6%
Draws
4%
Ghana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Korea come out ahead of Ghana on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Korea taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
South Korea Clean Sheet 20%
Ghana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea Ghana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
South Korea vs Ghana
1:0
Nov 28, 2022 World Championship
South Korea vs Ghana
2:3
Jun 9, 2014 Friendly International
Ghana vs South Korea
4:0
Jun 7, 2011 Friendly International
South Korea vs Ghana
2:1
Oct 8, 2006 Friendly International
South Korea vs Ghana
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Tae-Seok
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ghana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 85 / 100
Ghana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea Ghana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

South Korea's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ghana conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: South Korea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Korea VS Ghana
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%