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South Korea vs Yemen

Asia Asia

Asian Cup
Sun, Jan 10, 2027
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Asian Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Yemen have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while South Korea have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.62. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.94, favoring South Korea. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
South Korea
15%
Draws
42%
Yemen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Korea come out ahead of Yemen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans South Korea's way, sitting at 40%.
  • South Korea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
South Korea Clean Sheet 10%
Yemen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea Yemen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 38 / 100
Yemen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea Yemen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South Korea scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Yemen conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Yemen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: South Korea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Korea VS Yemen
1.38 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea

(Home)
28 Sept
South Korea
1 : 4
Uruguay
24 Sept
South Korea
3 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
19 Jun
Mexico
1 : 0
South Korea
12 Jun
South Korea
2 : 1
Czech Republic
Page 1 of 6

Yemen

(Away)
27 Sept
Yemen
0 : 1
Qatar
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0
Yemen
18 Sept
Kuwait
1 : 2
Yemen
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Comoros
5 : 4
Yemen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams