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South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Gillion L.
90' Event
Eliopoulos J.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Pro League game between South Melbourne and Auckland FC 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
South Melbourne
40%
Draws
29%
Auckland FC 2
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Auckland FC 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Melbourne Auckland FC 2
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2
1:2
May 6, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Melbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Eliopoulos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gillion L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Melbourne 30 / 100
Auckland FC 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Melbourne Auckland FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

South Melbourne scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: South Melbourne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Auckland FC 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Melbourne VS Auckland FC 2
2 Goals Scored 2.2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

South Melbourne

(Home)
18 Jul
South Melbourne
0 : 0
Preston Lions
10 Jul
Dandenong City SC
0 : 2
South Melbourne
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Green Gully
19 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
1 : 5
South Melbourne
Page 1 of 7

Auckland FC 2

(Away)
24 May
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Auckland FC 2
20 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 0
South Island United
12 May
Auckland FC 2
5 : 2
South Island United
09 May
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
Bula
06 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 2
South Melbourne
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298
Promotion - OFC Pro League (Winners stage)
Relegation - OFC Pro League (Losers stage)