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South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
South Melbourne Logo

South Melbourne

1 - 2
FT
Auckland FC 2 Logo

Auckland FC 2

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Normann D.
72' Event
Ellis M.
90' Event
Uchida Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
South Melbourne
15%
Draws
49%
Auckland FC 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Melbourne lately — more wins on the board than Auckland FC 2.
  • Model gives Auckland FC 2 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • South Melbourne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland FC 2, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Melbourne Auckland FC 2
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 20 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 2.18 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2
1:2
May 6, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Melbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Uchida Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Normann D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Melbourne 28 / 100
Auckland FC 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Melbourne Auckland FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland FC 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South Melbourne scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: South Melbourne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Auckland FC 2 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Melbourne VS Auckland FC 2
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Melbourne

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
11 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 1
South Melbourne
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
George Cross
1 : 0
South Melbourne
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2
South Melbourne
Page 1 of 8

Auckland FC 2

(Away)
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
24 May
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Auckland FC 2
20 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 0
South Island United
12 May
Auckland FC 2
5 : 2
South Island United
09 May
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
Bula
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Melbourne -
TBD -
Bula 1
Vanuatu United 2
Auckland FC 2 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Island United -
Semi-finals
South Melbourne 4
Vanuatu United 0
Auckland FC 2 1
South Island United 0
Final
South Melbourne 1
Auckland FC 2 2