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South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Normann D.
72' Event
Ellis M.
90' Event
Uchida Y.

AI Match Summary

Auckland FC 2 in this OFC Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
South Melbourne
40%
Draws
29%
Auckland FC 2
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland FC 2 lately — more wins on the board than South Melbourne.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Melbourne Auckland FC 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2
1:2
May 6, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Melbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Uchida Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Normann D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Melbourne 30 / 100
Auckland FC 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Melbourne Auckland FC 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

South Melbourne's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

South Melbourne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Auckland FC 2 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Melbourne VS Auckland FC 2
2 Goals Scored 2.2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 20%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Melbourne-
TBD-
Bula1
Vanuatu United2
Auckland FC 2-
TBD-
TBD-
South Island United-
Semi-finals
South Melbourne4
Vanuatu United0
Auckland FC 21
South Island United0
Final
South Melbourne1
Auckland FC 22