Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Melbourne vs Bula

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Pope J.
19' Event
Afazal I.
34' Event
Mikkola M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

South Melbourne in this OFC Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Melbourne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
South Melbourne
15%
Draws
21%
Bula
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Melbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Melbourne lately — more wins on the board than Bula.
  • Model gives South Melbourne a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular OFC Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Melbourne here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 18%
Bula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Melbourne Bula
Matches Played 43 18
Wins 23 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.19 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Bula
4:2
Apr 15, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Bula
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 OFC Pro League
Bula vs South Melbourne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Melbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Pope J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mesourouni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Bula Compare

Top Goalscorer Afazal I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krishna R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Melbourne 85 / 100
Bula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Melbourne Bula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Melbourne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Melbourne found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (43 games).

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Bula has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Solid form: South Melbourne remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Melbourne VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Melbourne

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
11 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 1
South Melbourne
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
George Cross
1 : 0
South Melbourne
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2
South Melbourne
Page 1 of 9

Bula

(Away)
17 May
Bula
1 : 2
Vanuatu United
12 May
South Melbourne
4 : 2
Bula
09 May
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
Bula
06 May
Bula
0 : 1
South Island United
18 Apr
Bula
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Melbourne 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
2 Auckland FC 2 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 South Island United 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Bula 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - OFC Pro League (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Pro League (Play Offs)