Sport Picks
South Melbourne vs Green Gully
Australia
NPL Victoria Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne 
Match Events
14'
14'
Habib B.
55'
55'
Kur K.
79'
79'
Swibel J.
AI Match Summary
Green Gully in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Green Gully.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- South Melbourne have won more games recently than Green Gully.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 12%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Melbourne | Green Gully |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs Green Gully
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs South Melbourne
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs Green Gully
1:1
Apr 25, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs South Melbourne
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs South Melbourne
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Melbourne Compare
Top Goalscorer Swibel J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Green Gully Compare
Top Goalscorer Habib B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kur K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Melbourne 29 / 100
Green Gully 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Melbourne Green Gully
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Green Gully let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
South Melbourne scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: South Melbourne remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
South Melbourne VS Green Gully
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
South Melbourne
(Home) 18 Jul
South Melbourne
0 : 0 Preston Lions
10 Jul
Dandenong City SC
0 : 2 South Melbourne
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Green Gully
19 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
1 : 5 South Melbourne
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
South Melbourne
0 : 0 Preston Lions
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Green Gully
07 Jun
South Melbourne
2 : 3 Altona Magic
25 May
South Melbourne
0 : 4 Avondale FC
Page 1 of 4
Green Gully
(Away) 17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
10 Jul
Green Gully
1 : 3 Altona Magic
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Green Gully
20 Jun
Hume City
3 : 2 Green Gully
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Green Gully
20 Jun
Hume City
3 : 2 Green Gully
30 May
George Cross
0 : 0 Green Gully
08 May
St Albans
1 : 0 Green Gully
17 Apr
Dandenong City SC
2 : 1 Green Gully
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 44:18 | 47 |
| 2 | Hume City | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40:25 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 54:28 | 35 |
| 4 | Preston Lions | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 30:16 | 33 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:26 | 33 |
| 6 | South Melbourne | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 31:32 | 32 |
| 7 | Melbourne City U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 37:23 | 30 |
| 8 | George Cross | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 9 | St Albans | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:37 | 24 |
| 10 | Altona Magic | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 23 |
| 11 | Dandenong City SC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | 22 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20:45 | 19 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23:46 | 15 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17:43 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)