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South Melbourne vs Solomon Kings

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Melbourne play Solomon Kings in the OFC Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Melbourne averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.51 conceded. Solomon Kings averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, South Melbourne won 1, Solomon Kings won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 19, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for South Melbourne and 2.10 for Solomon Kings. This points to a South Melbourne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
South Melbourne
15%
Draws
35%
Solomon Kings
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Melbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • South Melbourne picked up more points recently compared to Solomon Kings.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 2.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 10%
Solomon Kings Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Melbourne Solomon Kings
Matches Played 35 17
Wins 19 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.29 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 OFC Pro League
Solomon Kings vs South Melbourne
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Solomon Kings
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Melbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Uchida Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikkola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Solomon Kings Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Melbourne 47 / 100
Solomon Kings 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Melbourne Solomon Kings

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Melbourne or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Melbourne attacking → ← attacking Solomon Kings

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Melbourne scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Solomon Kings let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

South Melbourne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Solomon Kings lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 24
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.33
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298