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South Melbourne W vs Box Hill W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Victoria Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
South Melbourne W
6%
Draws
90%
Box Hill W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Box Hill W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Melbourne W haven't matched Box Hill W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Box Hill W taking it.
  • Regular NPL Victoria Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
South Melbourne W Clean Sheet 10%
Box Hill W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Melbourne W Box Hill W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
South Melbourne W vs Box Hill W
2:2
Mar 13, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Box Hill W vs South Melbourne W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Melbourne W 10 / 100
Box Hill W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Melbourne W Box Hill W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Melbourne W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

South Melbourne W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Box Hill W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 22 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Melbourne W VS Box Hill W
2.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

South Melbourne W

(Home)
25 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 0
Spring Hills W
05 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 0
South Melbourne W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
Page 1 of 5

Box Hill W

(Away)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
17 Jul
Spring Hills W
0 : 1
Box Hill W
10 Jul
Box Hill W
3 : 1
Boroondara Eagles W
04 Jul
Melbourne Victory U20 W
1 : 5
Box Hill W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)