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South Sudan U17 vs Kenya U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Sat, Jun 28, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2015. This has South Sudan U17 written all over it on paper. South Sudan U17 have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Kenya U17's 0.5 scored and 3 conceded. Past meetings favor South Sudan U17 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2014, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back South Sudan U17 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Sudan U17
25%
Draws
35%
Kenya U17
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: South Sudan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Sudan U17 come out ahead of Kenya U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives South Sudan U17 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • South Sudan U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
South Sudan U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Kenya U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan U17 Kenya U17
Matches Played 10 4
Wins 5 0
Draws 3 1
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1.8 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
South Sudan U17 vs Kenya U17
0:0
Jun 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Kenya U17 vs South Sudan U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan U17 85 / 100
Kenya U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan U17 Kenya U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Sudan U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Difficult form: Kenya U17 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan U17 VS Kenya U17
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South Sudan U17

(Home)

Kenya U17

(Away)
20 Aug
Kenya U17
1 : 2
Cameroon U17
07 Aug
Cameroon U17
7 : 0
Kenya U17
24 Apr
Kenya U17
0 : 0
Somalia U17
09 Apr
Somalia U17
3 : 1
Kenya U17

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -